RSF captures El Obeid by 2026-08-31

Market overview

The RSF will successfully capture El Obeid from the Sudanese Armed Forces by the end of August 2026 due to sustained drone strikes and siege tactics. This follows the pattern of RSF operations in other key cities like El Fasher.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

60%

Closes

2026-08-31

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