Will the term 'Blood Moon' be officially adopted by the International…

Market overview

The term 'Blood Moon' is popular but informal. The IAU is responsible for formal astronomical nomenclature, and it's unlikely they would adopt a non-scientific, descriptive term.

Science prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

5%

Closes

2027-12-31

More Science markets

• Climate Policy breaks new record this year? — 72% Yes
• Carbon Nanotubes breaks new record this year? — 37% Yes
• Will CRISPR dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 59% Yes
• Major Fusion Energy development by June 2027? — 24% Yes
• Will the CDC report over 500 confirmed US Cyclospora cases in 2024? — 45% Yes
• Will the UK record a temperature of 38.0°C or higher in June 2024? — 20% Yes
• Will a G20 nation announce a ban on new petrol/diesel car sales before 2035? — 42% Yes
• Will the total number of elephant deaths officially linked to this specific incident exceed 20 by 2024-10-01? — 0% Yes

Browse all Science markets →