news· Science
Will a G20 nation announce a ban on new petrol/diesel car sales befor…
Market overview
This market predicts whether any G20 nation, a group of the world's largest economies, will legislate a ban on the sale of new petrol or diesel cars before the year 2035. This signals a potential acceleration of the transition to electric vehicles.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 42%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Why this market exists
EV transition policy is accelerating faster than expected in several major markets
How this resolves
Official government legislation banning new ICE vehicle sales before 2035
Resolution criteria
At least one G20 member nation enacts a law or regulation prohibiting the sale of new internal combustion engine (ICE) passenger vehicles, with an effective date of ban on or before December 31, 2034. The announcement and legislation must be verifiable through official government sources or major news outlets.
Source: news
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