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user-generated· Science

Will the UK record a temperature of 38.0°C or higher in June 2024?

Market overview

The current record for the hottest June day in the UK is 35.6°C. While the headline suggests 'hottest June day on record', breaking the record by a significant margin to 38.0°C or higher is less likely but still possible given extreme weather patterns.

Science prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
20%
Closes
2026-09-21

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if any official Met Office weather station in the UK records a temperature of 38.0°C or higher during June 2024. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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