Iran exports 500,000+ barrels of oil daily despite U.S. sanctions esc…

Market overview

Despite U.S. pressure and potential escalation of sanctions, Iran will find ways to bypass restrictions (e.g., via third-party buyers or smuggling) and maintain oil exports above 500,000 barrels per day through October 2026. Iran has historically evaded sanctions with moderate success.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

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