Trump administration to reduce NATO funding 30% by 2028

Market overview

NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte's warnings about potential U.S. disengagement under a Trump administration will materialize as a 30% reduction in U.S. NATO funding by 2028. This follows the Trump administration's 2025 policy shift toward prioritizing bilateral defense deals over multilateral commitments.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

70%

Closes

2028-01-01

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