US-led coalition conducts limited strikes on Iranian naval assets by…

Market overview

In response to continued or resumed attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, the US will authorize targeted strikes against Iranian naval or proxy forces by late September 2026. Escalation follows failed diplomatic efforts and Iran's failure to comply with ceasefire terms.

geopolitics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

Closes

2026-09-30

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