Fed cuts rates to 3.0% by 2027-03-31
Resolves: Effective federal funds rate <= 3.0% on 2027-03-31 per Federal Reserve.
user-generated· macro
Fed cuts rates to 3.0% by 2027-03-31
Market overview
Federal funds rate target falls to 3.0% or lower by end of Q1 2027.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 50%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Effective federal funds rate <= 3.0% on 2027-03-31 per Federal Reserve.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Turkey's central bank raises interest rates above 50% by Q4 2026 — 68% Yes
- Motorist-led protest blockades reduce India's fuel consumption by 8% in Q4 2026 — 65% Yes
- 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.5% by end of 2027 — 60% Yes
- France 10-year yield spread over Bund exceeds 100 bps by June 2027 — 55% Yes
- UK 10-year gilt yield exceeds 5.5% by end of 2026 — 60% Yes
- Newsom's federal office spending reaches $2M on legal defense by 2027-03-31 — 60% Yes
- UK government expands energy bill support by Nov 2026 — 70% Yes
- Spending gap between lower- and higher-income households narrows to 5% by Q4 2026 — 65% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…