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10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.5% by end of 2027

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user-generated· macro

10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.5% by end of 2027

Market overview

Market expectations of persistent rate cuts will fade, pushing the 10-year Treasury yield higher. Inflation concerns and strong economic data will outweigh Fed dovish signals, driving yields to 4.5%+ by December 2025.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2027-12-31

Source: user-generated

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