Colombia’s coffee exports to U.S. fall 20% in 2027
Resolves: Colombia’s total coffee exports to the U.S. in 2027 are at least 20% below the 2025 level (1.1 million bags) as reported by the Colombian Coffee Growers Federation.
user-generated· macro
Colombia’s coffee exports to U.S. fall 20% in 2027
Market overview
Colombia’s coffee exports to the U.S. will decline by at least 20% in 2027 as tariffs remain in place and Colombian farmers shift production to other markets. The drop will exacerbate global coffee supply shortages.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2028-01-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia’s total coffee exports to the U.S. in 2027 are at least 20% below the 2025 level (1.1 million bags) as reported by the Colombian Coffee Growers Federation.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…