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UK 10-year gilt yield exceeds 5.5% by end of 2026

Resolves: UK 10-year government bond yield closes above 5.5% on any trading day from 2026-09-02 to 2026-12-31 inclusive.

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user-generated· macro

UK 10-year gilt yield exceeds 5.5% by end of 2026

Market overview

10-year gilt yield closes above 5.5% on any trading day before 2027-01-01.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

UK 10-year government bond yield closes above 5.5% on any trading day from 2026-09-02 to 2026-12-31 inclusive.

Source: user-generated

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