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Motorist-led protest blockades reduce India's fuel consumption by 8% in Q4 2026

Resolves: India's Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas reports a quarterly fuel consumption decline of 8% or more in Q4 2026 compared to Q4 2025

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user-generated· macro

Motorist-led protest blockades reduce India's fuel consumption by 8%…

Market overview

Continuing protests against biofuel mandates will lead to significant disruptions in fuel distribution, causing India's quarterly fuel consumption to drop by at least 8% in the last three months of 2026. Economic activity in rural and urban areas will be affected.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

India's Ministry of Petroleum and Natural Gas reports a quarterly fuel consumption decline of 8% or more in Q4 2026 compared to Q4 2025

Source: user-generated

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