Will the total voter turnout for the Georgia special election runoff exceed 100,000 votes?
Resolves: YES if the official total number of votes cast in the special election runoff is greater than 100,000. NO if the total is 100,000 or less.
user-generated· Politics
Will the total voter turnout for the Georgia special election runoff…
Market overview
This question gauges voter engagement in the special election. Special elections, especially runoffs, often see lower turnout than general elections, but a competitive race or significant media attention can boost numbers.
Politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 45%
- Closes
- 2026-11-23
About this prediction
How this resolves
YES if the official total number of votes cast in the special election runoff is greater than 100,000. NO if the total is 100,000 or less.
Source: user-generated
More Politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- SNP-led minority government will collapse by 2027 — 70% Yes
- Republicans lose Senate seat to Democrats by November 2026 — 55% Yes
- Trump-endorsed candidates gain 1+ House seat in South Carolina due to redistricting — 75% Yes
- Will Michael Dell publicly endorse Donald Trump for the 2028 US Presidential election by November 5, 2028? — 30% Yes
- Will the 'cockroach' movement leader be detained again by the Indian government by October 11, 2027? — 40% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…