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Will the 'cockroach' movement leader be detained again by the Indian government by October 11, 2027?

Resolves: YES if the leader is officially detained by any Indian government authority, including house arrest, before or on 2027-10-11. NO otherwise.

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user-generated· Politics

Will the 'cockroach' movement leader be detained again by the Indian…

Market overview

Given the leader's previous detention and the nature of the movement, there's a reasonable chance of re-detention, especially if activities escalate. However, the government might also choose to monitor rather than detain immediately.

Politics prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
40%
Closes
2027-10-11

About this prediction

How this resolves

YES if the leader is officially detained by any Indian government authority, including house arrest, before or on 2027-10-11. NO otherwise.

Source: user-generated

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