Republicans lose Senate seat to Democrats by November 2026
Resolves: Democrats win a Senate seat previously held by a Republican in a special or general election by November 30, 2026, as confirmed by official election results.
user-generated· politics
Republicans lose Senate seat to Democrats by November 2026
Market overview
Due to McConnell's vacancy and the special election process, Republicans lose control of a Senate seat to Democrats by the November 2026 elections. The shift narrows the Republican majority, impacting legislative outcomes in the Senate.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Democrats win a Senate seat previously held by a Republican in a special or general election by November 30, 2026, as confirmed by official election results.
Source: user-generated
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