SNP-led minority government will collapse by 2027
user-generated· politics
SNP-led minority government will collapse by 2027
Market overview
John Swinney’s stated comfort with minority governance contrasts with the SNP’s history of instability in such arrangements. The Greens’ former power-sharing exit and Reform UK’s rise as a political force create volatile conditions for negotiations.
politics prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
Source: user-generated
More politics markets
- JD Vance partnership or acquisition announced? — 44% Yes
- Virgin Galactic major announcement before March 2027? — 36% Yes
- Will BRICS dominate headlines in the next 12-18 months? — 33% Yes
- Will Trump be impeached before his term ends? — 66% Yes
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alabama be between 1,700,000 and 1,800,000? — 24% Yes
- Will Democratic Senate incumbents win all their nominating elections in the 2026 cycle? — 98% Yes
- Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? — 4% Yes
- Will Rand Paul be the first listed Republican to announce a run for President in 2028? — 24% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…