Top 20 indebted countries increase education spending share by 2028
Resolves: World Bank or UNESCO data shows that at least 10 of the top 20 indebted developing countries have increased their education expenditure as a share of government revenue by 0.5 percentage points or more compared to 2025 levels by January 1, 2028.
Top 20 indebted countries increase education spending share by 2028
Market overview
At least 10 of the 20 most indebted developing countries will raise the percentage of government revenue allocated to education by at least 0.5 percentage points between 2025 and 2028. This shift is driven by growing public pressure and conditional lending agreements with international financial institutions.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2028-01-01
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
World Bank or UNESCO data shows that at least 10 of the top 20 indebted developing countries have increased their education expenditure as a share of government revenue by 0.5 percentage points or more compared to 2025 levels by January 1, 2028.
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 4.5% by 2026-11-15 — 68% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by March 2027 due to subpoena fallout — 68% Yes
- Federal funding for national parks to exceed $4.5B in 2027 budget — 68% Yes
- Japanese wage growth exceeds 3% annualized by Q4 2026 — 60% Yes
- Japan's GDP growth exceeds 2% in 2027 due to AI adoption — 60% Yes
- UK bond yields rise by 50 basis points within 30 days — 60% Yes
- U.S. 10-year Treasury yield rises above 5% in 2026 — 60% Yes
- Fed cuts rates by 100bps by December 2026 — 72% Yes