U.S. 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 4.5% by 2026-11-15
Resolves: U.S. Department of the Treasury reports 10-year Treasury yield ≥4.50% on or before 2026-11-15.
user-generated· macro
U.S. 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 4.5% by 2026-11-15
Market overview
10-year Treasury yield climbs above 4.5% as bond markets price in sustained inflation risks.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. Department of the Treasury reports 10-year Treasury yield ≥4.50% on or before 2026-11-15.
Source: user-generated
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