Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by March 2027 due to subpoena fallout
Resolves: Trump's approval rating, as measured by a major polling firm, falls below 40% in any monthly tracking poll published between January 1, 2027, and March 31, 2027.
user-generated· macro
Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by March 2027 due to subpoena…
Market overview
The cumulative effect of subpoena-driven investigations and media scrutiny will erode public trust in Trump's presidency. Approval ratings will fall below 40% by the end of Q1 2027, as tracked by major polling firms like Gallup or Pew Research.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Trump's approval rating, as measured by a major polling firm, falls below 40% in any monthly tracking poll published between January 1, 2027, and March 31, 2027.
Source: user-generated
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