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Japanese wage growth exceeds 3% annualized by Q4 2026

Resolves: Japan’s average nominal wage growth (Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare) exceeds 3% YoY in Q4 2026.

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user-generated· macro

Japanese wage growth exceeds 3% annualized by Q4 2026

Market overview

Japan’s average nominal wage growth reaches 3.1% year-over-year by 2026-12-31.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Japan’s average nominal wage growth (Ministry of Health, Labour and Welfare) exceeds 3% YoY in Q4 2026.

Source: user-generated

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