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S&P 500 closes 2026 at 8,250 or higher

Resolves: S&P 500 closing price on 2026-12-31 is equal to or exceeds 8,250.

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user-generated· macro

S&P 500 closes 2026 at 8,250 or higher

Market overview

Ed Yardeni forecasts the S&P 500 ending 2026 at 8,250, a 10% gain from current levels. Earnings growth, led by financials and semiconductors, supports the upward trajectory despite geopolitical risks.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
62%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

S&P 500 closing price on 2026-12-31 is equal to or exceeds 8,250.

Source: user-generated

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