user-generated· Science
Will NASA's newest space telescope successfully achieve its primary m…
Market overview
The headline indicates a launch today, but successful deployment and reaching the intended operational orbit are critical subsequent steps. Given the complexity of space telescopes, there's always a non-zero risk of issues during deployment or transit.
Science prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-11-28
More Science markets
- Climate Policy breaks new record this year? — 72% Yes
- Carbon Nanotubes breaks new record this year? — 37% Yes
- Will CRISPR dominate headlines in the next 6-10 months? — 59% Yes
- Major Fusion Energy development by June 2027? — 24% Yes
- Will the CDC report over 500 confirmed US Cyclospora cases in 2024? — 45% Yes
- Will the UK record a temperature of 38.0°C or higher in June 2024? — 20% Yes
- Will a G20 nation announce a ban on new petrol/diesel car sales before 2035? — 42% Yes
- Will the total number of elephant deaths officially linked to this specific incident exceed 20 by 2024-10-01? — 0% Yes
Loading…