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Sri Lanka's debt service exceeds 17 times education spending by Q1 2027

Resolves: Sri Lanka's total debt service payments divided by total public education expenditure exceeds 17.0 by March 31, 2027, per IMF or Sri Lankan government fiscal reports.

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user-generated· macro

Sri Lanka's debt service exceeds 17 times education spending by Q1 20…

Market overview

Sri Lanka already spent 16 times more on debt than education in 2025. Continued currency depreciation and debt restructuring delays are likely to push this ratio beyond 17 by Q1 2027.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
78%
Closes
2027-03-31

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Resolution criteria

Sri Lanka's total debt service payments divided by total public education expenditure exceeds 17.0 by March 31, 2027, per IMF or Sri Lankan government fiscal reports.

Source: user-generated

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