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FIFA-related PMI index rises above 55 by December 2026

Resolves: FIFA host nations' composite PMI index (weighted average) published by S&P Global or Markit reaches ≥55.0 by December 31, 2026.

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user-generated· macro

FIFA-related PMI index rises above 55 by December 2026

Market overview

The FIFA host nations' composite PMI index will climb above 55 by December 2026, reflecting accelerated economic activity from tournament-related infrastructure, tourism, and retail spending. Current PMI levels in host regions remain below 52, but pre-tournament economic stimulus and fan spending are expected to drive a significant uptick.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
68%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

FIFA host nations' composite PMI index (weighted average) published by S&P Global or Markit reaches ≥55.0 by December 31, 2026.

Source: user-generated

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