US debt-to-GDP ratio hits 125% by 2028-12-31
Resolves: U.S. federal debt held by the public as a percentage of GDP (CBO or Treasury data) is 125% or higher on 2028-12-31.
user-generated· macro
US debt-to-GDP ratio hits 125% by 2028-12-31
Market overview
U.S. federal debt as a percentage of GDP reaches or exceeds 125% by year-end 2028.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2028-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
U.S. federal debt held by the public as a percentage of GDP (CBO or Treasury data) is 125% or higher on 2028-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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