Topic

Jobs Report

See community predictions and betting odds for Jobs Report. Track forecasts, vote on outcomes, and discover what the crowd expects next on Predictagon.

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jobs-report

Jobs Report prediction markets

• US April jobs report misses expectations at 40k

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• Will the US unemployment rate be below 3.5% in the May 2026 jobs report?

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• S&P 500 rises 0.75% if April jobs report is 85,000 to 125,000

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• VIX index rises 10% or more following April jobs report with payrolls between 85,000–125,000

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• S&P 500 falls over 0.5% if April jobs report shows fewer than 50,000 jobs

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• S&P 500 rises 0.5-1% if April jobs report is 85,000 to 125,000

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• Will the US unemployment rate remain below 4.0% in the next official jobs report?

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• Fed signals pause in June if jobs report matches JPMorgan’s 50,000 estimate

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• S&P 500 drops 3% within 5 trading days of jobs report

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• Fed signals pause after April jobs report with payrolls at 50,000–85,000

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• 10-year Treasury yield rises above 4.5% if April jobs report exceeds 125,000

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• S&P 500 falls 1% if April jobs report is below 85,000

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• S&P 500 rises over 1% if April jobs report exceeds 125,000

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• Unemployment rate rises to 4.4% in April jobs report

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• S&P 500 falls over 1% if April jobs report exceeds 125,000

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• S&P 500 gains 1% if April jobs report exceeds 125,000

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• S&P 500 rises over 0.5% if April jobs report exceeds 125,000

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