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Philippine peso depreciates 10% amid political instability

Resolves: Philippine peso (PHP/USD) trades at or below 60.00 by 2026-12-31, representing at least a 10% depreciation from the 2026-07-06 closing rate of approximately 54.50.

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user-generated· macro

Philippine peso depreciates 10% amid political instability

Market overview

Political uncertainty from Sara Duterte's impeachment trial triggers a sharp depreciation of the Philippine peso against the US dollar. Market sentiment deteriorates as investors reassess risk associated with the country's leadership stability.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
65%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

Philippine peso (PHP/USD) trades at or below 60.00 by 2026-12-31, representing at least a 10% depreciation from the 2026-07-06 closing rate of approximately 54.50.

Source: user-generated

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