Colombia's coffee exports fall 15% YoY by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Colombia's total coffee exports (60-kg bags) decline by at least 15% compared to 2025 levels, as reported by Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia.
user-generated· macro
Colombia's coffee exports fall 15% YoY by 2026-12-31
Market overview
The 25% U.S. tariff on Colombian coffee remains in place through year-end, disrupting trade flows. Logistics bottlenecks and farmer resistance further constrain output.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia's total coffee exports (60-kg bags) decline by at least 15% compared to 2025 levels, as reported by Federación Nacional de Cafeteros de Colombia.
Source: user-generated
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