UK mortgage rates rise above 6% before 2027
Resolves: The Bank of England base rate exceeds 6% as recorded by the BoE’s official policy rate data.
user-generated· macro
UK mortgage rates rise above 6% before 2027
Market overview
The Bank of England’s base rate will increase to at least 6% by March 2027 due to persistent inflationary pressure from the Iran war disrupting energy supplies. This will force mortgage lenders to raise fixed rates beyond current projections.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Bank of England base rate exceeds 6% as recorded by the BoE’s official policy rate data.
Source: user-generated
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