SC redistricting maps lead to 2-seat GOP gain in 2026 elections

Market overview

The approved maps result in Republicans gaining at least two congressional seats in the 2026 midterms. This outcome is driven by favorable district lines in key areas like Charleston and Greenville.

elections prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

55%

More elections markets

• Reform UK gains more seats than Labour in 2028 general election — 60% Yes
• GOP gains Tennessee’s 9th congressional seat in 2026 midterms — 80% Yes
• Tennessee Democrats gain seats in 2026 midterms due to redistricting delay — 70% Yes
• Democrats replace Platner with candidate polling stronger than him — 72% Yes
• Jim Clyburn loses reelection bid in South Carolina's 6th district — 85% Yes
• John Curtis will secure at least 25% of the primary vote in 2028 — 65% Yes
• Rep. Steve Cohen loses reelection in 2026 after redistricting — 80% Yes
• Susan Collins retains Senate seat with 5+ point margin — 70% Yes

Browse all elections markets →