user-generated· election
Virginia’s 2nd District flips to Democrats in 2027 election
Market overview
The controversy surrounding Kiggans, combined with strong Democratic messaging around the offensive remark, will lead to her defeat in the 2024 election. Elaine Luria’s campaign will capitalize on voter outrage to secure the seat.
election prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2027-12-31
More election markets
- Kiggans wins reelection in 2026 — 60% Yes
- Democratic candidate wins 2026 Senate race using MAGA tactics — 30% Yes
- Cory Mills loses re-election — 45% Yes
- Jim Renacci announces candidacy for OH-07 — 50% Yes
- Steve Cohen loses reelection due to redistricting in 2026 — 80% Yes
- SC’s 6th District flips Democratic in 2028 election — 60% Yes
- Kiggans will win reelection despite controversy — 55% Yes
- Kiggans loses 2026 Virginia House race — 70% Yes
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