user-generated· election
Kiggans loses 2026 Virginia House race
Market overview
The controversy will severely damage Kiggans' reelection bid, leading to her defeat in the November 2026 election. Polling and fundraising trends will reflect growing Democratic enthusiasm and Republican defections.
election prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
More election markets
- Kiggans wins reelection in 2026 — 60% Yes
- Democratic candidate wins 2026 Senate race using MAGA tactics — 30% Yes
- Cory Mills loses re-election — 45% Yes
- Jim Renacci announces candidacy for OH-07 — 50% Yes
- Steve Cohen loses reelection due to redistricting in 2026 — 80% Yes
- SC’s 6th District flips Democratic in 2028 election — 60% Yes
- Kiggans will win reelection despite controversy — 55% Yes
- Susan Collins retains Senate seat in 2026 election despite Democratic replacement — 75% Yes
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