UK mortgage approvals fall 12% year-over-year by 2027-Q2
Resolves: Bank of England mortgage approvals data for June 2027 shows a year-over-year decline of 12% or more
user-generated· macro
UK mortgage approvals fall 12% year-over-year by 2027-Q2
Market overview
UK mortgage approvals will decline by at least 12% year-over-year by the end of Q2 2027, as higher borrowing costs and economic uncertainty deter prospective homebuyers. This will be the largest annual drop since the 2008 financial crisis.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2027-06-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Bank of England mortgage approvals data for June 2027 shows a year-over-year decline of 12% or more
Source: user-generated
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