Fed funds rate hike by 25bps before 2027-03-31
Resolves: The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate by 25 basis points or more at any scheduled FOMC meeting between 2026-07-09 and 2027-03-31, inclusive.
user-generated· macro
Fed funds rate hike by 25bps before 2027-03-31
Market overview
The dot-plot showed a narrow majority favoring one rate hike in 2026, and with inflation remaining elevated in some sectors, the Fed may opt to raise rates to maintain price stability. Geopolitical tensions or supply shocks could exacerbate inflationary pressures.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2027-03-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
The Federal Reserve raises the federal funds rate by 25 basis points or more at any scheduled FOMC meeting between 2026-07-09 and 2027-03-31, inclusive.
Source: user-generated
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