user-generated· macro
French corn yields to drop by 12% or more in 2026 vs 2025
Market overview
Official French agricultural reports confirm a minimum 12% reduction in 2026 corn yields due to heat stress and water shortages. This will be the largest annual decline in a decade.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 85%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
French Ministry of Agriculture releases final 2026 corn yield estimate showing ≥12% YoY decline
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- Federal government allocates CAD 500M to soccer infrastructure by 2027 — 55% Yes
- S&P 500 rises 5% within 45 days due to thawed US-China relations — 65% Yes
- Fed raises rates by December 2026 — 72% Yes
- Treasury yields to fall below 3% by Q4 — 65% Yes
- Stellantis labor force reduction exceeds 8% by December 2026 — 65% Yes
- Germany’s Q4 2026 GDP growth exceeds 2.0% — 65% Yes
- S&P 500 Volatility Index (VIX) Surges Above 30 by Q4 2026 — 65% Yes
- Musk's influence leads to 20% increase in private space investment by 2027-06-01 — 78% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…