Iran oil exports drop below 500k barrels/day by Nov 2026
Resolves: Iran's oil exports measured by third-party data (e.g., EIA, OPEC) fall below 500,000 barrels per day for the month of November 2026.
user-generated· macro
Iran oil exports drop below 500k barrels/day by Nov 2026
Market overview
Iranian oil exports fall below 500,000 barrels per day due to US sanctions and naval blockade.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-11-30
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Iran's oil exports measured by third-party data (e.g., EIA, OPEC) fall below 500,000 barrels per day for the month of November 2026.
Source: user-generated
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