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China 10-year yield falls below 2.0%

Resolves: People's Bank of China publishes 10-year government bond yield below 2.0% at any daily close.

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user-generated· macro

China 10-year yield falls below 2.0%

Market overview

China 10-year government bond yield closes below 2.0% on any day before year-end.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)
60%
Closes
2026-12-31

About this prediction

Resolution criteria

People's Bank of China publishes 10-year government bond yield below 2.0% at any daily close.

Source: user-generated

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