Japanese 10-year bond yield exceeds 1.2% by October 2026

Market overview

The 10-year Japanese Government Bond yield will surpass 1.2% by October 2026, driven by spillover effects from the 20-year yield surge and continued BoJ policy normalization. This would represent the highest level since 2015.

macro prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

65%

Source: user-generated

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