Arabica coffee prices rise above $4.50/lb by 2026-12-31

Market overview

Arabica coffee futures exceed $4.50 per pound due to sustained U.S.-Colombia tariff tensions.

commodities prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

75%

Closes

2026-12-31

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• Brent crude exceeds $100/bbl by July 2026 — 75% Yes
• Brazil increases coffee exports to U.S. by 20% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
• Arabica coffee futures rise above $3.50/lb by 2026-09-30 — 72% Yes
• Colombia exports 15% less coffee by October 2026 due to US tariff dispute — 75% Yes
• Arabica coffee prices exceed $5.50/lb by 2026-08-31 — 75% Yes
• Arabica coffee futures exceed $3.50/lb by end of 2026 — 75% Yes
• Arabica coffee futures to rise above $3.50/lb by 2026-09-30 — 72% Yes
• Colombia diverts 20% of Arabica exports to EU by 2026-10-31 — 70% Yes

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