Colombian coffee exports to US drop by 15% YoY by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Colombian coffee export volume to the US in Q4 2026 is at least 15% lower than Q4 2025, as reported by Colombia's National Federation of Coffee Growers or USDA trade data.
user-generated· commodities
Colombian coffee exports to US drop by 15% YoY by 2026-12-31
Market overview
The ongoing US-Colombia tariff spat is expected to reduce Colombian coffee exports to the US by at least 15% year-over-year as trade barriers tighten. Alternative markets like Europe and Asia may partially offset losses but not fully compensate.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombian coffee export volume to the US in Q4 2026 is at least 15% lower than Q4 2025, as reported by Colombia's National Federation of Coffee Growers or USDA trade data.
Source: user-generated
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