Global soybean oil inventories fall below 20 million tons by 2026-12-31
Resolves: USDA or other authoritative global agricultural agency reports showing global soybean oil ending stocks below 20 million metric tons for the 2026-2027 marketing year.
user-generated· commodities
Global soybean oil inventories fall below 20 million tons by 2026-12-…
Market overview
Renewed US-Iran tensions have already disrupted trade flows, and if tensions persist through Q4 2026, global soybean oil inventories are likely to decline significantly. A drop below 20 million metric tons would signal tight supply conditions and support higher prices into year-end.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 65%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
USDA or other authoritative global agricultural agency reports showing global soybean oil ending stocks below 20 million metric tons for the 2026-2027 marketing year.
Source: user-generated
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