Colombia's 2026 coffee export volume drops 12% YoY
Resolves: Colombia's total coffee export volume in calendar year 2026 is at least 12% lower than in 2025, as reported by Colombia's National Federation of Coffee Growers (FNC).
user-generated· commodities
Colombia's 2026 coffee export volume drops 12% YoY
Market overview
Colombia's coffee exports are projected to decline by at least 12% in 2026 compared to 2025 due to the tariff dispute with the U.S. and labor-related harvest disruptions. This would mark the largest annual decline in over a decade.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 80%
- Closes
- 2027-01-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Colombia's total coffee export volume in calendar year 2026 is at least 12% lower than in 2025, as reported by Colombia's National Federation of Coffee Growers (FNC).
Source: user-generated
More commodities markets
- Copper supply deficit to widen by 200,000 tons in H2 2026 — 68% Yes
- Global iron ore prices drop 15% by December 2026 — 68% Yes
- Brent crude exceeds $100/bbl by July 2026 — 75% Yes
- BP's jet fuel output remains 20% above pre-conflict levels by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Global corn exports from Brazil exceed 50 million metric tons by December 2026 — 65% Yes
- Global soybean oil inventories fall below 20 million tons by 2026-12-31 — 65% Yes
- Global phosphate fertilizer prices rise 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- Fortescue Metals to exceed Q1 2027 iron ore output guidance — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…