Arabica coffee futures to exceed $3.50/lb by 2026-12-31
Resolves: Arabica coffee futures (ICE Futures US) settle at or above $3.50 per pound on the December 2026 contract.
user-generated· commodities
Arabica coffee futures to exceed $3.50/lb by 2026-12-31
Market overview
Arabica coffee futures have surged to multi-decade highs amid U.S.-Colombia trade tensions. Given the inelastic supply of premium arabica beans and sustained demand from Europe/Asia, prices are likely to maintain upward pressure.
commodities prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Arabica coffee futures (ICE Futures US) settle at or above $3.50 per pound on the December 2026 contract.
Source: user-generated
More commodities markets
- Copper supply deficit to widen by 200,000 tons in H2 2026 — 68% Yes
- Global iron ore prices drop 15% by December 2026 — 68% Yes
- Brent crude exceeds $100/bbl by July 2026 — 75% Yes
- BP's jet fuel output remains 20% above pre-conflict levels by December 2026 — 70% Yes
- Global corn exports from Brazil exceed 50 million metric tons by December 2026 — 65% Yes
- Global soybean oil inventories fall below 20 million tons by 2026-12-31 — 65% Yes
- Global phosphate fertilizer prices rise 15% by Q4 2026 — 70% Yes
- Fortescue Metals to exceed Q1 2027 iron ore output guidance — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…