U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rises above 2.8%
Resolves: CNBC or U.S. Treasury data shows 10-year breakeven inflation rate ≥2.8% at any point before 2026-12-31.
user-generated· macro
U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rises above 2.8%
Market overview
The U.S. 10-year breakeven inflation rate exceeds 2.8% before 2026-12-31 as market pricing adjusts to Treasury intervention.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 70%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
CNBC or U.S. Treasury data shows 10-year breakeven inflation rate ≥2.8% at any point before 2026-12-31.
Source: user-generated
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