Fed to maintain rates unchanged in July 2026
user-generated· macro
Fed to maintain rates unchanged in July 2026
Market overview
Warsh inherits inflation concerns and political pressure to cut rates but faces resistance from the Fed's policy committee. Recent inflation data undermines the case for immediate rate reductions, suggesting no change in July.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 75%
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…