South Carolina's 2026 midterm elections proceed with old congressiona…

Market overview

If the special session fails to pass a new map or faces legal challenges, the 2026 midterms will use the existing invalidated map. This would likely lead to further political instability and potential federal intervention.

elections prediction market

Implied probability (Yes)

50%

More elections markets

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• Jim Clyburn loses reelection bid in South Carolina's 6th district — 85% Yes
• John Curtis will secure at least 25% of the primary vote in 2028 — 65% Yes
• Rep. Steve Cohen loses reelection in 2026 after redistricting — 80% Yes
• Susan Collins retains Senate seat with 5+ point margin — 70% Yes

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