China and US sign 10-year LNG deal by October 2026
user-generated· macro
China and US sign 10-year LNG deal by October 2026
Market overview
Escalating Middle East tensions increase urgency for both nations to secure stable energy sources. Xi Jinping's diplomatic overtures to Trump will likely culminate in a comprehensive long-term LNG agreement.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
Source: user-generated
More macro markets
- 10-year Treasury yield exceeds 5% by Q4 2026 due to Fed oversight — 67% Yes
- Ukraine aid funding drops 20% in next federal budget cycle — 70% Yes
- US new business filings surpass 2026 record by 2027 — 75% Yes
- Fed holds interest rates steady through 2026 due to labor stability — 70% Yes
- Fed cuts rates within 6 months under Warsh — 70% Yes
- AI boosts oil production by 5%+ by 2027 — 70% Yes
- U.S. energy production hits new annual record in 2026 — 80% Yes
- Trump's approval rating drops below 40% by year-end — 70% Yes
No one's made a Conviction call on this yet. Be the first to call it →
Loading…