US Consumer Price Index inflation falls below 2% by December 2026
Resolves: US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports CPI (all items, year-over-year) below 2.0% for December 2026.
user-generated· macro
US Consumer Price Index inflation falls below 2% by December 2026
Market overview
Wage compression between low- and high-income earners reduces consumer purchasing power disparity, cooling demand-pull inflation. Core CPI, currently at 2.3%, is expected to trend downward as wage growth convergence stabilizes prices.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 72%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
US Bureau of Labor Statistics reports CPI (all items, year-over-year) below 2.0% for December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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