2-year Treasury yield falls below 4.5% by 2026-11-15
Resolves: 2-year Treasury yield closes below 4.50% on November 15, 2026, per Federal Reserve data.
user-generated· macro
2-year Treasury yield falls below 4.5% by 2026-11-15
Market overview
The 2-year Treasury yield declines from current levels to drop below 4.50% by mid-November 2026.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 55%
- Closes
- 2026-11-15
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
2-year Treasury yield closes below 4.50% on November 15, 2026, per Federal Reserve data.
Source: user-generated
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