30-year fixed mortgage rates drop below 6.5% by December 2026
Resolves: Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate falls below 6.5% according to Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey as of December 2026.
user-generated· macro
30-year fixed mortgage rates drop below 6.5% by December 2026
Market overview
Fed policy shifts and cooling inflation from the Iran war's effects will reduce mortgage rates. Historically, mortgage rates have lagged behind policy rate cuts by 3-6 months.
macro prediction market
- Implied probability (Yes)
- 68%
- Closes
- 2026-12-31
About this prediction
Resolution criteria
Average 30-year fixed mortgage rate falls below 6.5% according to Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey as of December 2026.
Source: user-generated
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